New York City has seen large increases in crime over the last few years. In my book, I noted that from July 2019 to July 2020 the murder rate rose 58.8% (34 in July 2019, 54 in July 2020) and the Shooting incidents rose 177.3% (88 July 2019, 244 July 2020). This mostly due to the anti-cop rhetoric from far-left activists and the virtue signaling from Bill DeBlasio.
There is likely to be even more crime in 2022, but not from an anti-cop mentality. The new NYC Mayor Eric Adams is a former NYPD captain. The increase in crime will likely come from the new DA Alvin Bragg seeks to downgrade many felony offences to misdemeanors.
“Armed robbers who use guns or other deadly weapons to stick up stores and other businesses will be prosecuted only for petty larceny, a misdemeanor, provided no victims were seriously injured and there’s no “genuine risk of physical harm” to anyone. Armed robbery, a class B felony, would typically be punishable by a maximum of 25 years in prison, while petty larceny subjects offenders to up to 364 days in jail and a $1,000 fine.”
By reducing the penalties for these crimes, criminals will be emboldened to engage in these activities. New York can expect increases in larceny, burglary and robbery in the future. If you want to learn more about how these policies affect crime, I reccomend “The War on Cops” by Heather Macdonald.